Evaluation and Improvement of a SVD-Based Empirical Atmospheric Model     

YU Jia-Yuh  CHANG Cheng-Wei  TU Jien-Yi 《大气科学进展》2011,28(3):636-652

An empirical atmospheric model(EAM) based on the singular value decomposition(SVD) method is evaluated using the composite El Ni(?)o/Southern Oscillation(ENSO) patterns of sea surface temperature (SST) and wind anomalies as the target scenario.Two versions of the SVD-based EAM were presented for comparisons.The first version estimates the wind anomalies in response to SST variations based on modes that were calculated from a pair of global wind and SST fields(i.e.,conventional EAM or CEAM).The second version utilizes the same model design but is based on modes that were calculated in a region-wise manner by separating the tropical domain from the remaining extratropical regions(i.e.,region-wise EAM or REAM). Our study shows that,while CEAM has shown successful model performance over some tropical areas, such as the equatorial eastern Pacific(EEP),the western North Pacific(WNP),and the tropical Indian Ocean(TIO),its performance over the North Pacific(NP) seems poor.When REAM is used to estimate the wind anomalies instead of CEAM,a marked improvement over NP readily emerges.Analyses of coupled modes indicate that such an improvement can be attributed to a much stronger coupled variability captured by the first region-wise SVD mode at higher latitudes compared with that captured by the conventional one. The newly proposed way of constructing the EAM(i.e.,REAM) can be very useful in the coupled studies because it gives the model a wider application beyond the commonly accepted tropical domain.  相似文献   

时-空二维波传播分解方法及其在季节内振荡分析中的应用     

王伟  李建平  丁瑞强 《气象学报》2011,69(4):555-569

大气季节内振荡最显著的特征之一就是其复杂多变的传播特征。为了进一步分析大气季节内振荡的传播特征及其不同传播方向分量的不同作用,基于波的传播理论,对时-空谱分析进行了发展,提出了时-空二维波传播分解方法,并用理想函数验证了其正确性和可行性。结果表明:对任一时-空二维序列,采用此方法均可正确地分解得到空间上具有不同传播方向的3部分分量:前进波、后退波和驻波分量。之后,对向外长波辐射(OLR)、200和850hPa纬向风的东传、西传分量以及驻波分量分别进行联合经验正交函数(CEOF)分析。结果表明,在东传分量上,热带大气季节内振荡主要表现为纬向1波的向东传播,与对流层高、低层纬向风呈现反位相的斜压结构,和未分解的情况相比,前两个主要模态重要性的排序出现了颠倒,说明通过时-空二维波传播分解,避开了各分量之间的相互影响,进一步揭示了前两个模态的物理意义及其在季节内振荡中的重要性;在西传分量上,热带大气季节内振荡主要表现为纬向2—3波的向西传播;驻波分量主要表现出印度洋和太平洋的反位相结构。对热带地区大气季节内振荡的东、西分量的分析,深化了对热带大气季节内振荡东传、西传特征的了解,这对于热带大气季节内振荡更加准确预报及其...  相似文献   

1979-2008年华北地区对流层顶高度变化特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

张红雨  周顺武  张国勇  李毓富  李新生 《气象与环境学报》2011,27(2):8-13

利用1979-2008年华北地区12个测站逐日对流层顶探空资料,运用统计学方法对该地区不同类别对流层顶发生及其高度的季节特征进行探讨,并采用线性趋势、小波分析和EOF分解等方法对其高度变化等气候特征进行分析,揭示了该地区对流层顶的季节特征及其高度变化的基本事实和规律.结果表明:华北地区第一对流层顶冬季出现多,夏季少,近...  相似文献   

混合光谱分解算法的太湖水体组分浓度反演分析     

陆超平  吕恒  李云梅 《地球信息科学学报》2011,13(5):687-694

二类水体组份的遥感定量反演一直是水色遥感的难点和热点问题,原因在于其水体组分(纯水、叶绿素、悬浮物及CDOM)之间复杂的相互作用.本文引入光谱分解算法,通过Hydrolight软件模拟叶绿素、悬浮物和CDOM的标准反射率光谱,解决光谱分解算法中“纯端元”难以获取的问题.在此基础上建立了二类水体组分光谱分解反演模型.模型...  相似文献   

东江流域枯水期最长连续无降水日数的变化特征   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

王兆礼  覃杰香  陈晓宏 《地理研究》2011,30(9):1693-1701

利用1956-2008年东江流域各降雨站点逐日降雨资料,建立枯水期最长连续无降水日数时间序列（LCDD）,采用经验模态分解（EMD）方法分析该序列的多尺度振荡变化及趋势变化,应用Mann-Kendall法识别突变点,采用R／S分析方法探讨变化趋势的持续性特征,并初步分析LCDD变化的可能原因。结果表明：近53年来,最长...  相似文献   

武汉市碳排放的测算及影响因素分解研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

田云  李波  张俊飚 《地域研究与开发》2011,30(5):88-92

研究基于14个主要方面碳源,测算了武汉市1996—2009年碳排放量。发现自1996年以来武汉市碳排放呈现"平稳—上升—平稳"的三阶段特征。进一步基于LMDI模型分解碳排放的影响因素,结果表明,能源结构、能源效率因素对碳排放量具有一定抑制作用,但效果不够显著且波动性较强,1997—2009年与基期相比,能源结构、能源效率因素分别累计实现了0.95%,11.30%的碳减排;而经济因素与人口规模因素则对碳排放具有较强推动作用,分别累计产生了64.65%,19.65%的碳增量。最后,据此提出推进武汉市碳减排的对策建议。  相似文献   

极化SAR影像分类方法研究     

常新盼  邓喀中  王行风 《测绘信息与工程》2010,35(4):26-28

采用不同的分类方法对荷兰Flevoland地区全极化数据进行分类,讨论了各分类方法存在的问题,通过比较得出基于复Wishart分布的最大似然监督分类的效果较好。  相似文献   

Influence of pore size and geometry on peat unsaturated hydraulic conductivity computed from 3D computed tomography image analysis     

F. Rezanezhad  W. L. Quinton  J. S. Price  T. R. Elliot  D. Elrick  K. R. Shook 《水文研究》2010,24(21):2983-2994

In organic soils, hydraulic conductivity is related to the degree of decomposition and soil compression, which reduce the effective pore diameter and consequently restrict water flow. This study investigates how the size distribution and geometry of air‐filled pores control the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity of peat soils using high‐resolution (45 µm) three‐dimensional (3D) X‐ray computed tomography (CT) and digital image processing of four peat sub‐samples from varying depths under a constant soil water pressure head. Pore structure and configuration in peat were found to be irregular, with volume and cross‐sectional area showing fractal behaviour that suggests pores having smaller values of the fractal dimension in deeper, more decomposed peat, have higher tortuosity and lower connectivity, which influences hydraulic conductivity. The image analysis showed that the large reduction of unsaturated hydraulic conductivity with depth is essentially controlled by air‐filled pore hydraulic radius, tortuosity, air‐filled pore density and the fractal dimension due to degree of decomposition and compression of the organic matter. The comparisons between unsaturated hydraulic conductivity computed from the air‐filled pore size and geometric distribution showed satisfactory agreement with direct measurements using the permeameter method. This understanding is important in characterizing peat properties and its heterogeneity for monitoring the progress of complex flow processes at the field scale in peatlands. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Towards a comprehensive approach to parameter estimation in land surface parameterization schemes     

Rafael Rosolem  Hoshin V. Gupta  W. James Shuttleworth  Luis Gustavo Gonçalves de Gonçalves  Xubin Zeng 《水文研究》2013,27(14):2075-2097

In climate models, the land–atmosphere interactions are described numerically by land surface parameterization (LSP) schemes. The continuing improvement in realism in these schemes comes at the expense of the need to specify a large number of parameters that are either directly measured or estimated. Also, an emerging problem is whether the relationships used in LSPs are universal and globally applicable. One plausible approach to evaluate this is to first minimize uncertainty in model parameters by calibration. In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of some model diagnostics using a slightly modified version of the Simple Biosphere 3 model for a variety of biomes located mainly in the Amazon. First, the degree of influence of each individual parameter in simulating surface fluxes is identified. Next, we estimate parameters using a multi‐operator genetic algorithm applied in a multi‐objective context and evaluate simulations of energy and carbon fluxes against observations. Compared with the default parameter sets, these parameter estimates improve the partitioning of energy fluxes in forest and cropland sites and provide better simulations of daytime increases in assimilation of net carbon during the dry season at forest sites. Finally, a detailed assessment of the parameter estimation problem was performed by accounting for the decomposition of the mean squared error to the total model uncertainty. Analysis of the total prediction uncertainty reveals that the parameter adjustments significantly improve reproduction of the mean and variability of the flux time series at all sites and generally remove seasonality of the errors but do not improve dynamical properties. Our results demonstrate that error decomposition provides a meaningful and intuitive way to understand differences in model performance. To make further advancements in the knowledge of these models, we encourage the LSP community to adopt similar approaches in the future. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Lignin in marine environment and its analysis—A review     

LI Xianguo  ZHANG Ting  SUN Shuwen  LAN Haiqing  YU Tao 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2012,11(4):501-506

Lignin is a group of phenolic polymers which is abundant in the woody tissues of vascular plants,and is essentially absent from all other living organisms.It has therefore been accepted as a tracer for terrestrial organic carbon(TOC) in marine environment since the 1970s.Lignin polymers are not amenable to direct chemical analysis without prior isolation.This review focused on the methods of chemical decomposition,extraction,derivatization and detection of lignin in marine environment.We described and compared several chemical decomposition methods,including nitrobenzene oxidation,alkaline cupric oxide(CuO) oxidation and thermochemolysis,and detection methods such as gas chromatography(GC),gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(GC-MS),high performance liquid chromatography(HPLC) and so on.Possible improvement of lignin analysis and the application prospects of this tracer were also discussed.  相似文献